Acca builder
Pick selections from the next four days and see what your accumulator is really worth: combined odds, the chance every leg lands and the expected value on our numbers.
Sat 14 Nov
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How the acca maths works
How does the acca builder work?
Add selections from any match. We multiply the decimal odds to get the accumulator price, multiply our estimated chances to get the probability that every leg wins, and compare the two. The selections are saved in your browser only.
Why is the combined chance so low?
Every leg must win. Four selections at 60% each land together only about 13% of the time (0.6 × 0.6 × 0.6 × 0.6). Bookmaker margins also multiply across legs, which is why accumulators usually carry a bigger edge for the bookmaker than single bets.
What does bookmaker implied mean?
It is the chance the odds imply once the bookmaker's margin is removed. If our combined chance is higher than the bookmaker's, the slip has a positive expected value on our numbers, which is still no guarantee.
Are selections from the same match allowed?
The builder blocks two picks from the same match, because results within one game are linked and multiplying their chances would overstate how likely the slip is.
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.
