Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Exeter win at 50%. We expect about 2.4 goals (Exeter 1.51, Cheltenham 0.92), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS 50/50.
50%28%22%
ExeterDrawCheltenham
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Over 0.590%
Over 1.571%
Over 2.544%
Over 3.523%
Both teams score48%
Exeter clean sheet40%
Cheltenham clean sheet22%
Correct score
EXE ↓CHL →
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9.8
7.1
3.7
1.1
1
12
13
5.6
1.7
2
10
9.2
4.2
1.3
3
5.1
4.7
2.1
0.7
4
1.9
1.8
0.8
5
0.6
0.5
Most likely: 1-1 13.2%, 1-0 12.3%, 2-0 10.1%
Halves
League Two sides have scored 44% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.08 goals in the first half and 1.35 in the second.
Goal in 1st half66%
2+ goals in 1st half29%
Goal in 2nd half74%
2+ goals in 2nd half39%
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Exeter or draw | 78.1% | 1.28 |
| Double chance draw or Cheltenham | 49.8% | 2.01 |
| Double chance either team wins | 72.1% | 1.39 |
| Draw no bet Exeter | 69.7% | 1.44 |
| Draw no bet Cheltenham | 30.3% | 3.30 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10.0% | 10.01 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 | 51.5% | 56.2% | +1.1% | |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.7% | 27.9% | -2.3% | |
| Home win | 1.91 | 49.0% | 50.2% | -4.1% | |
| Away win | 3.85 | 24.3% | 21.9% | -15.8% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.91 | 48.5% | 43.9% | -16.3% |
Exeter form
- L31 Oct@ Salford City1–2L2E
- W24 Octv Fleetwood Town2–1L2E
- W20 Octv Crewe2–0L2E
- D17 Oct@ Colchester0–0L2E
- W10 Oct@ Shrewsbury1–0L2E
- W3 Octv Rotherham1–0L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 5–4–5
- Goals per game
- 0.79 for 0.64 against
- Both teams scored
- 29%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 21%
- Clean sheets
- 50%
- Failed to score
- 43%
Cheltenham form
- L31 Oct@ Tranmere1–3L2E
- W24 Octv Newport1–0L2E
- W20 Octv Fleetwood Town4–2L2E
- L17 Oct@ Oldham1–4L2E
- L10 Octv Salford City0–2L2E
- L3 Oct@ Accrington0–2L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 6–3–5
- Goals per game
- 1.64 for 1.79 against
- Both teams scored
- 79%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Clean sheets
- 7%
- Failed to score
- 14%
Head to head
- 22 Sep 2026Cheltenham Town2–2Exeter City
- 13 Aug 2025Cheltenham Town2–0Exeter City
- 1 Apr 2024Cheltenham Town1–2Exeter City
- 16 Sep 2023Exeter City1–0Cheltenham Town
- 18 Mar 2023Cheltenham Town3–1Exeter City
When Exeter score
18%1–15
9%16–30
9%31–45+
18%46–60
18%61–75
27%76–90+
When Cheltenham score
13%1–15
22%16–30
26%31–45+
9%46–60
13%61–75
17%76–90+
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.