Colchester United vs Gillingham prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Colchester win at 41%. We expect about 2.6 goals (Colchester 1.41, Gillingham 1.21), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS 50/50.
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Correct score
Most likely: 1-1 13.4%, 1-0 9.3%, 2-1 8.8%
Halves
League Two sides have scored 44% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.16 goals in the first half and 1.46 in the second.
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Colchester or draw | 68.7% | 1.45 |
| Double chance draw or Gillingham | 59.4% | 1.68 |
| Double chance either team wins | 71.9% | 1.39 |
| Draw no bet Colchester | 56.5% | 1.77 |
| Draw no bet Gillingham | 43.5% | 2.30 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12.5% | 7.99 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win | 3.40 | 27.2% | 31.3% | +6.3% | |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.6% | 28.1% | -5.8% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 | 51.0% | 51.4% | -7.5% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.87 | 49.1% | 48.6% | -9.1% | |
| Home win | 2.05 | 45.2% | 40.6% | -16.8% |
Colchester form
- L31 Octv Walsall1–3L2E
- L24 Oct@ Northampton0–2L2E
- D20 Oct@ Chesterfield1–1L2E
- D17 Octv Exeter0–0L2E
- L10 Oct@ Newport0–1L2E
- D26 Sep@ Shrewsbury2–2L2E
- Played
- 13
- W–D–L
- 2–6–5
- Goals per game
- 0.92 for 1.46 against
- Both teams scored
- 62%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38%
- Clean sheets
- 15%
- Failed to score
- 31%
Gillingham form
- W31 Oct@ Shrewsbury2–1L2E
- L24 Octv Grimsby1–4L2E
- D20 Octv Port Vale1–1L2E
- L17 Oct@ Accrington1–3L2E
- W10 Oct@ Rotherham4–1L2E
- D3 Octv Newport0–0L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 5–5–4
- Goals per game
- 1.43 for 1.36 against
- Both teams scored
- 57%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Clean sheets
- 29%
- Failed to score
- 29%
Head to head
- 29 Dec 2025Gillingham1–1Colchester United
- 6 Dec 2025Colchester United0–0Gillingham
- 7 Oct 2025Colchester United2–1Gillingham
- 1 Apr 2025Gillingham1–1Colchester United
- 26 Dec 2024Colchester United2–0Gillingham
When Colchester score
When Gillingham score
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.