Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Argyle prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Sheffield Wed win at 44%. We expect about 2.9 goals (Sheffield Wed 1.61, Plymouth 1.31), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS yes.
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Correct score
Most likely: 1-1 12.3%, 2-1 9.2%, 1-0 7.8%
Halves
League One sides have scored 40% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.17 goals in the first half and 1.75 in the second.
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Sheffield Wed or draw | 69.7% | 1.43 |
| Double chance draw or Plymouth | 56.5% | 1.77 |
| Double chance either team wins | 73.8% | 1.36 |
| Draw no bet Sheffield Wed | 59.0% | 1.70 |
| Draw no bet Plymouth | 41.0% | 2.44 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17.1% | 5.84 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 2.30 | 40.0% | 44.2% | +1.6% | |
| Home win | 2.25 | 41.2% | 43.5% | -2.1% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.7% | 26.2% | -5.6% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.53 | 60.1% | 55.8% | -14.6% | |
| Away win | 2.80 | 33.1% | 30.3% | -15.3% |
Sheffield Wed form
- D1 Novv Blackpool1–1L1E
- D27 Octv Cambridge1–1L1E
- L24 Oct@ Doncaster0–2L1E
- L20 Oct@ Notts County0–2L1E
- W17 Octv Wimbledon5–0L1E
- D10 Oct@ Huddersfield2–2L1E
- Played
- 13
- W–D–L
- 5–5–3
- Goals per game
- 1.69 for 1.08 against
- Both teams scored
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Clean sheets
- 23%
- Failed to score
- 38%
Plymouth form
- D31 Octv Reading0–0L1E
- W24 Oct@ Cambridge3–2L1E
- L20 Oct@ Stevenage0–3L1E
- L17 Octv Huddersfield0–2L1E
- W10 Octv Wimbledon2–1L1E
- W3 Oct@ Leyton Orient2–0L1E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 7–2–5
- Goals per game
- 1.50 for 1.36 against
- Both teams scored
- 43%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Clean sheets
- 29%
- Failed to score
- 36%
Head to head
- 8 Mar 2025Plymouth Argyle0–3Sheffield Wednesday
- 11 Aug 2024Sheffield Wednesday4–0Plymouth Argyle
- 5 Mar 2024Sheffield Wednesday1–0Plymouth Argyle
- 25 Oct 2023Plymouth Argyle3–0Sheffield Wednesday
- 4 Feb 2023Sheffield Wednesday1–0Plymouth Argyle
When Sheffield Wed score
When Plymouth score
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.