Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Shrewsbury win at 44%. We expect about 2.6 goals (Shrewsbury 1.47, Oldham 1.15), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS 50/50.
44%28%28%
ShrewsburyDrawOldham
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Over 0.592%
Over 1.575%
Over 2.549%
Over 3.527%
Both teams score54%
Shrewsbury clean sheet32%
Oldham clean sheet23%
Correct score
SHR ↓OLD →
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8.3
7.4
4.8
1.8
0.5
1
9.7
13
7.1
2.7
0.8
2
7.9
9.1
5.2
2.0
0.6
3
3.9
4.4
2.6
1.0
4
1.4
1.6
0.9
5
Most likely: 1-1 13.3%, 1-0 9.7%, 2-1 9.1%
Halves
League Two sides have scored 44% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.16 goals in the first half and 1.46 in the second.
Goal in 1st half69%
2+ goals in 1st half32%
Goal in 2nd half77%
2+ goals in 2nd half43%
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Shrewsbury or draw | 71.4% | 1.40 |
| Double chance draw or Oldham | 56.5% | 1.77 |
| Double chance either team wins | 72.2% | 1.39 |
| Draw no bet Shrewsbury | 60.3% | 1.66 |
| Draw no bet Oldham | 39.7% | 2.52 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12.6% | 7.96 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 2.55 | 36.2% | 43.5% | +11.0% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.91 | 48.1% | 48.7% | -7.0% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.77 | 51.9% | 51.3% | -9.2% | |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.9% | 27.8% | -10.9% | |
| Away win | 2.65 | 34.9% | 28.6% | -24.1% |
Shrewsbury form
- L31 Octv Gillingham1–2L2E
- D24 Oct@ Rotherham3–3L2E
- W20 Oct@ Crawley3–2L2E
- W17 Octv Bristol Rovers1–0L2E
- L10 Octv Exeter0–1L2E
- W3 Oct@ Grimsby2–1L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 5–3–6
- Goals per game
- 1.21 for 1.57 against
- Both teams scored
- 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Clean sheets
- 21%
- Failed to score
- 29%
Oldham form
- W3 Nov@ Northampton1–0L2E
- L31 Octv Crawley0–1L2E
- D24 Oct@ Barnet1–1L2E
- L20 Oct@ Walsall0–3L2E
- W17 Octv Cheltenham4–1L2E
- D10 Octv Accrington0–0L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 4–3–7
- Goals per game
- 1.07 for 1.36 against
- Both teams scored
- 43%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Clean sheets
- 29%
- Failed to score
- 36%
Head to head
- 11 Apr 2026Shrewsbury Town1–0Oldham Athletic
- 25 Oct 2025Oldham Athletic2–2Shrewsbury Town
- 23 Jan 2018Shrewsbury Town2–1Oldham Athletic
- 1 Jan 2018Shrewsbury Town1–0Oldham Athletic
- 16 Sep 2017Oldham Athletic1–2Shrewsbury Town
When Shrewsbury score
6%1–15
18%16–30
18%31–45+
18%46–60
18%61–75
24%76–90+
When Oldham score
0%1–15
27%16–30
20%31–45+
13%46–60
13%61–75
27%76–90+
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.