Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere Rovers prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Fleetwood Town win at 47%. We expect about 2.7 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.58, Tranmere 1.11), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS 50/50.
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Correct score
Most likely: 1-1 12.8%, 1-0 9.7%, 2-1 9.4%
Halves
League Two sides have scored 44% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.19 goals in the first half and 1.50 in the second.
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Fleetwood Town or draw | 74.2% | 1.35 |
| Double chance draw or Tranmere | 52.7% | 1.90 |
| Double chance either team wins | 73.1% | 1.37 |
| Draw no bet Fleetwood Town | 64.7% | 1.55 |
| Draw no bet Tranmere | 35.3% | 2.83 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13.7% | 7.33 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 1.91 | 48.1% | 49.5% | -5.5% | |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.3% | 26.9% | -5.8% | |
| Away win | 3.60 | 25.6% | 25.8% | -7.1% | |
| Home win | 1.91 | 48.2% | 47.3% | -9.7% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.77 | 51.9% | 50.5% | -10.5% |
Fleetwood Town form
- W31 Octv Bristol Rovers3–1L2E
- L24 Oct@ Exeter1–2L2E
- L20 Oct@ Cheltenham2–4L2E
- W17 Octv Rotherham2–0L2E
- D10 Octv Walsall1–1L2E
- L3 Oct@ Salford City0–1L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 4–5–5
- Goals per game
- 1.29 for 1.29 against
- Both teams scored
- 64%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Clean sheets
- 29%
- Failed to score
- 14%
Tranmere form
- W31 Octv Cheltenham3–1L2E
- D24 Oct@ Crawley1–1L2E
- W20 Oct@ Northampton1–0L2E
- L17 Octv Barnet1–2L2E
- D10 Octv Rochdale1–1L2E
- L3 Oct@ Chesterfield2–4L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 4–7–3
- Goals per game
- 1.36 for 1.21 against
- Both teams scored
- 64%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36%
- Clean sheets
- 29%
- Failed to score
- 14%
Head to head
- 14 Mar 2026Fleetwood Town0–0Tranmere Rovers
- 26 Dec 2025Tranmere Rovers1–0Fleetwood Town
- 2 Dec 2025Tranmere Rovers0–3Fleetwood Town
- 22 Mar 2025Fleetwood Town0–0Tranmere Rovers
- 11 Feb 2025Tranmere Rovers0–0Fleetwood Town
When Fleetwood Town score
When Tranmere score
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.