AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Blackpool win at 38%. We expect about 2.7 goals (Wimbledon 1.30, Blackpool 1.38), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS 50/50.
34%28%38%
WimbledonDrawBlackpool
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Over 0.592%
Over 1.576%
Over 2.550%
Over 3.528%
Both teams score55%
Wimbledon clean sheet25%
Blackpool clean sheet27%
Correct score
WIM ↓BLP →
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7.9
8.5
6.5
3.0
1.0
1
8.0
13
8.5
3.9
1.3
2
5.8
8.0
5.5
2.5
0.9
3
2.5
3.5
2.4
1.1
4
0.8
1.1
0.8
5
Most likely: 1-1 13.3%, 0-1 8.5%, 1-2 8.5%
Halves
League One sides have scored 40% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.07 goals in the first half and 1.60 in the second.
Goal in 1st half66%
2+ goals in 1st half29%
Goal in 2nd half80%
2+ goals in 2nd half48%
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Wimbledon or draw | 62.2% | 1.61 |
| Double chance draw or Blackpool | 65.7% | 1.52 |
| Double chance either team wins | 72.1% | 1.39 |
| Draw no bet Wimbledon | 47.6% | 2.10 |
| Draw no bet Blackpool | 52.4% | 1.91 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13.4% | 7.48 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 1.91 | 48.1% | 49.9% | -4.6% | |
| Away win | 2.50 | 37.0% | 37.8% | -5.6% | |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.1% | 27.9% | -7.9% | |
| Home win | 2.65 | 34.9% | 34.3% | -9.0% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.77 | 51.9% | 50.1% | -11.4% |
Wimbledon form
- L31 Oct@ Stockport1–2L1E
- D24 Octv Wycombe1–1L1E
- L20 Octv Mansfield0–3L1E
- L17 Oct@ Sheffield Wed0–5L1E
- L10 Oct@ Plymouth1–2L1E
- D26 Sep@ Cambridge1–1L1E
- Played
- 13
- W–D–L
- 3–4–6
- Goals per game
- 0.69 for 1.62 against
- Both teams scored
- 38%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Clean sheets
- 38%
- Failed to score
- 38%
Blackpool form
- D1 Nov@ Sheffield Wed1–1L1E
- L24 Octv Mansfield1–4L1E
- W20 Octv MK Dons2–0L1E
- L17 Oct@ Leyton Orient0–2L1E
- L10 Oct@ Cambridge0–1L1E
- L19 Sepv Plymouth2–4L1E
- Played
- 12
- W–D–L
- 3–3–6
- Goals per game
- 1.42 for 1.75 against
- Both teams scored
- 67%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Clean sheets
- 17%
- Failed to score
- 17%
Head to head
- 11 Mar 2026AFC Wimbledon4–1Blackpool
- 4 Oct 2025Blackpool0–2AFC Wimbledon
- 6 Mar 2021Blackpool1–1AFC Wimbledon
- 27 Oct 2020AFC Wimbledon1–0Blackpool
- 22 Feb 2020AFC Wimbledon0–0Blackpool
When Wimbledon score
11%1–15
44%16–30
11%31–45+
11%46–60
11%61–75
11%76–90+
When Blackpool score
6%1–15
24%16–30
18%31–45+
6%46–60
24%61–75
24%76–90+
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.