Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Chesterfield win at 39%. We expect about 2.9 goals (Bristol Rovers 1.39, Chesterfield 1.51), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS yes.
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Correct score
Most likely: 1-1 12.5%, 1-2 8.7%, 2-1 8.0%
Halves
League Two sides have scored 44% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.28 goals in the first half and 1.61 in the second.
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Bristol Rovers or draw | 60.7% | 1.65 |
| Double chance draw or Chesterfield | 65.9% | 1.52 |
| Double chance either team wins | 73.4% | 1.36 |
| Draw no bet Bristol Rovers | 46.5% | 2.15 |
| Draw no bet Chesterfield | 53.6% | 1.87 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16.7% | 5.98 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 2.85 | 32.4% | 34.1% | -2.8% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.71 | 53.3% | 55.3% | -5.5% | |
| Away win | 2.30 | 40.1% | 39.3% | -9.6% | |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.5% | 26.6% | -10.9% | |
| Under 2.5 | 1.95 | 46.7% | 44.8% | -12.7% |
Bristol Rovers form
- L31 Oct@ Fleetwood Town1–3L2E
- D24 Octv Swindon0–0L2E
- L20 Octv Salford City1–2L2E
- L17 Oct@ Shrewsbury0–1L2E
- L10 Octv Barnet1–3L2E
- L3 Oct@ Crewe1–3L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 5–1–8
- Goals per game
- 1.21 for 1.64 against
- Both teams scored
- 43%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Clean sheets
- 36%
- Failed to score
- 29%
Chesterfield form
- L30 Oct@ Newport1–4L2E
- W24 Octv Crewe5–1L2E
- D20 Octv Colchester1–1L2E
- L17 Oct@ Port Vale0–1L2E
- D10 Oct@ Crawley2–2L2E
- W3 Octv Tranmere4–2L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 5–4–5
- Goals per game
- 1.71 for 1.50 against
- Both teams scored
- 71%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Clean sheets
- 14%
- Failed to score
- 14%
Head to head
- 7 Feb 2026Bristol Rovers2–3Chesterfield
- 16 Aug 2025Chesterfield3–1Bristol Rovers
- 18 Mar 2017Bristol Rovers2–1Chesterfield
- 26 Nov 2016Chesterfield3–2Bristol Rovers
- 1 Feb 2014Chesterfield3–1Bristol Rovers
When Bristol Rovers score
When Chesterfield score
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.