Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Wigan win at 41%. We expect about 2.8 goals (Wigan 1.52, Barnsley 1.32), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS yes.
41%27%32%
WiganDrawBarnsley
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Over 0.593%
Over 1.578%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.532%
Both teams score58%
Wigan clean sheet27%
Barnsley clean sheet22%
Correct score
WGA ↓BAR →
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6.8
6.8
5.1
2.3
0.7
1
8.0
13
7.8
3.4
1.1
2
6.7
8.9
5.9
2.6
0.9
3
3.4
4.5
3.0
1.3
4
1.3
1.7
1.1
5
0.5
Most likely: 1-1 12.7%, 2-1 8.9%, 1-0 8.0%
Halves
League One sides have scored 40% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.14 goals in the first half and 1.70 in the second.
Goal in 1st half68%
2+ goals in 1st half31%
Goal in 2nd half82%
2+ goals in 2nd half51%
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Wigan or draw | 67.8% | 1.47 |
| Double chance draw or Barnsley | 59.0% | 1.69 |
| Double chance either team wins | 73.2% | 1.37 |
| Draw no bet Wigan | 56.0% | 1.79 |
| Draw no bet Barnsley | 44.0% | 2.27 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15.8% | 6.33 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 1.51 | 60.4% | 68.4% | +3.3% | |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.7% | 26.8% | -3.4% | |
| Home win | 2.25 | 41.2% | 41.0% | -7.8% | |
| Away win | 2.80 | 33.1% | 32.2% | -9.8% | |
| Over 3.5 | 2.30 | 39.6% | 31.6% | -27.3% |
Wigan form
- D3 Novv Mansfield0–0L1E
- W31 Octv Bromley3–2L1E
- L27 Oct@ Leicester0–3L1E
- L24 Oct@ Huddersfield1–2L1E
- L20 Oct@ Oxford Utd1–2L1E
- W17 Octv Reading1–0L1E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 3–2–9
- Goals per game
- 0.79 for 1.57 against
- Both teams scored
- 36%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Clean sheets
- 21%
- Failed to score
- 57%
Barnsley form
- D31 Octv Oxford Utd1–1L1E
- L24 Oct@ Reading1–2L1E
- L20 Oct@ Luton1–2L1E
- L17 Octv Cambridge1–2L1E
- L10 Oct@ Stockport1–3L1E
- D19 Sepv Leicester1–1L1E
- Played
- 12
- W–D–L
- 2–3–7
- Goals per game
- 1.00 for 1.83 against
- Both teams scored
- 75%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Clean sheets
- 8%
- Failed to score
- 25%
Head to head
- 8 Aug 2026Barnsley1–1Wigan Athletic
- 17 Mar 2026Barnsley1–1Wigan Athletic
- 1 Jan 2026Wigan Athletic1–1Barnsley
- 29 Mar 2025Wigan Athletic1–1Barnsley
- 23 Nov 2024Barnsley0–1Wigan Athletic
When Wigan score
0%1–15
18%16–30
9%31–45+
18%46–60
45%61–75
9%76–90+
When Barnsley score
25%1–15
8%16–30
17%31–45+
8%46–60
25%61–75
17%76–90+
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.