Stockport County vs Reading prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Stockport win at 47%. We expect about 2.7 goals (Stockport 1.58, Reading 1.15), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS 50/50.
47%27%26%
StockportDrawReading
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Over 0.593%
Over 1.577%
Over 2.551%
Over 3.529%
Both teams score55%
Stockport clean sheet32%
Reading clean sheet21%
Correct score
STO ↓REA →
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7.5
6.5
4.3
1.6
1
9.4
13
6.8
2.6
0.7
2
8.2
9.4
5.4
2.1
0.6
3
4.3
5.0
2.8
1.1
4
1.7
2.0
1.1
5
0.5
0.6
Most likely: 1-1 12.8%, 1-0 9.4%, 2-1 9.4%
Halves
League One sides have scored 40% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.10 goals in the first half and 1.63 in the second.
Goal in 1st half67%
2+ goals in 1st half30%
Goal in 2nd half80%
2+ goals in 2nd half49%
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Stockport or draw | 73.4% | 1.36 |
| Double chance draw or Reading | 53.4% | 1.87 |
| Double chance either team wins | 73.2% | 1.37 |
| Draw no bet Stockport | 63.7% | 1.57 |
| Draw no bet Reading | 36.3% | 2.75 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14.2% | 7.06 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 | 43.4% | 48.6% | +2.1% | |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.9% | 26.8% | -0.7% | |
| Away win | 3.55 | 25.9% | 26.6% | -5.6% | |
| Home win | 1.87 | 49.2% | 46.6% | -12.9% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.61 | 56.6% | 51.4% | -17.3% |
Stockport form
- W31 Octv Wimbledon2–1L1E
- L27 Oct@ Oxford Utd0–1L1E
- D24 Oct@ Notts County1–1L1E
- W20 Oct@ Doncaster2–0L1E
- W17 Octv Bromley1–0L1E
- W10 Octv Barnsley3–1L1E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 8–2–4
- Goals per game
- 1.86 for 1.00 against
- Both teams scored
- 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Clean sheets
- 36%
- Failed to score
- 21%
Reading form
- L4 Nov@ Oxford Utd0–2L1E
- D31 Oct@ Plymouth0–0L1E
- W24 Octv Barnsley2–1L1E
- W21 Octv Leyton Orient1–0L1E
- L17 Oct@ Wigan0–1L1E
- W10 Oct@ MK Dons5–1L1E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 6–4–4
- Goals per game
- 1.79 for 1.07 against
- Both teams scored
- 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Clean sheets
- 36%
- Failed to score
- 29%
Head to head
- 4 Jan 2026Reading1–0Stockport County
- 27 Sep 2025Stockport County1–1Reading
- 18 Jan 2025Reading1–3Stockport County
- 29 Oct 2024Stockport County4–1Reading
When Stockport score
8%1–15
27%16–30
0%31–45+
23%46–60
23%61–75
19%76–90+
When Reading score
8%1–15
0%16–30
28%31–45+
28%46–60
16%61–75
20%76–90+
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.