Salford City vs Northampton Town prediction
Our read
The numbers lean towards a Salford City win at 56%. We expect about 2.5 goals (Salford City 1.65, Northampton 0.81), so the goal line reads Goals close to 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS 50/50.
Strength · Based on season results blended with bookmaker prices.
Goals
Correct score
Most likely: 1-0 13.2%, 1-1 12.3%, 2-0 11.6%
Halves
League Two sides have scored 44% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.09 goals in the first half and 1.37 in the second.
Other markets
| Market | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance Salford City or draw | 82.7% | 1.21 |
| Double chance draw or Northampton | 43.5% | 2.30 |
| Double chance either team wins | 73.8% | 1.36 |
| Draw no bet Salford City | 76.5% | 1.31 |
| Draw no bet Northampton | 23.5% | 4.26 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10.4% | 9.65 |
Prices against our numbers
Reference odds from our data feed. Edge is our chance × odds − 1. Check your bookmaker’s live price.
| Pick | Odds | Bookmaker implied | Our chance | Edge | Add |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 | 51.0% | 55.4% | -0.3% | |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.2% | 26.2% | -3.0% | |
| Home win | 1.69 | 55.1% | 56.5% | -4.6% | |
| Over 2.5 | 1.87 | 49.1% | 44.6% | -16.6% | |
| Away win | 4.70 | 19.8% | 17.3% | -18.6% |
Salford City form
- W31 Octv Exeter2–1L2E
- W26 Oct@ Walsall4–2L2E
- W20 Oct@ Bristol Rovers2–1L2E
- W17 Octv Crawley2–1L2E
- W10 Oct@ Cheltenham2–0L2E
- W3 Octv Fleetwood Town1–0L2E
- Played
- 14
- W–D–L
- 10–1–3
- Goals per game
- 1.79 for 1.07 against
- Both teams scored
- 57%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Clean sheets
- 29%
- Failed to score
- 14%
Northampton form
- L3 Novv Oldham0–1L2E
- D31 Oct@ Accrington1–1L2E
- W24 Octv Colchester2–0L2E
- L20 Octv Tranmere0–1L2E
- W17 Oct@ Grimsby2–0L2E
- D10 Oct@ York City1–1L2E
- Played
- 13
- W–D–L
- 3–5–5
- Goals per game
- 0.69 for 0.77 against
- Both teams scored
- 31%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 0%
- Clean sheets
- 31%
- Failed to score
- 46%
Head to head
- 7 Jan 2023Salford City2–1Northampton Town
- 8 Oct 2022Northampton Town0–1Salford City
- 29 Jan 2022Northampton Town1–0Salford City
- 25 Sep 2021Salford City2–2Northampton Town
- 11 Jan 2020Salford City1–2Northampton Town
When Salford City score
When Northampton score
Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.