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League One · · Kenilworth Road

Luton Town vs Cambridge United prediction

Our read

The numbers lean towards a Luton win at 57%. We expect about 3.3 goals (Luton 2.10, Cambridge 1.21), so the goal line reads Over 2.5 and both teams to score reads BTTS yes.

57%22%21%
LutonDrawCambridge

Strength · Based on season results only.

Goals

Over 0.596%
Over 1.585%
Over 2.564%
Over 3.542%
Both teams score62%
Luton clean sheet30%
Cambridge clean sheet12%

Correct score

LTN ↓CAM →
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4.4
3.7
2.7
1.1
1
6.9
10
5.6
2.3
0.7
2
8.0
9.7
5.9
2.4
0.7
3
5.6
6.8
4.1
1.7
0.5
4
3.0
3.6
2.2
0.9
5
1.3
1.5
0.9

Most likely: 1-1 10.0%, 2-1 9.7%, 2-0 8.0%

Halves

League One sides have scored 40% of their goals before half-time this season, so we expect 1.33 goals in the first half and 1.98 in the second.

Goal in 1st half74%
2+ goals in 1st half38%
Goal in 2nd half86%
2+ goals in 2nd half59%

Other markets

MarketOur chanceFair odds
Double chance Luton or draw79.3%1.26
Double chance draw or Cambridge42.9%2.33
Double chance either team wins77.8%1.29
Draw no bet Luton73.4%1.36
Draw no bet Cambridge26.6%3.76
Over 4.5 goals24.0%4.16

Luton form

  1. D3 Nov@ Huddersfield1–1L1E
  2. W31 Oct@ Peterborough2–0L1E
  3. W27 Octv Doncaster3–1L1E
  4. W24 Octv Leicester2–1L1E
  5. W20 Octv Barnsley2–1L1E
  6. L17 Oct@ MK Dons1–2L1E
Played
14
W–D–L
7–3–4
Goals per game
1.93 for 1.50 against
Both teams scored
79%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Clean sheets
14%
Failed to score
7%

Cambridge form

  1. L31 Oct@ Leyton Orient0–3L1E
  2. D27 Oct@ Sheffield Wed1–1L1E
  3. L24 Octv Plymouth2–3L1E
  4. D20 Octv Wycombe2–2L1E
  5. W17 Oct@ Barnsley2–1L1E
  6. W10 Octv Blackpool1–0L1E
Played
14
W–D–L
5–6–3
Goals per game
1.50 for 1.50 against
Both teams scored
86%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Clean sheets
7%
Failed to score
7%

When Luton score

11%1–15
11%16–30
19%31–45+
22%46–60
15%61–75
22%76–90+
Goals scored by 15-minute window, this season

When Cambridge score

5%1–15
0%16–30
10%31–45+
29%46–60
19%61–75
38%76–90+
Goals scored by 15-minute window, this season

Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.

Matchday wire