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Draw No Bet Explained: How It Works and How to Price It

Football lying on uneven grass in late afternoon sunlight

A draw no bet wager backs one team to win, but refunds your stake if the match ends in a draw, so the only way to lose is if the other team wins. Because the draw is taken out, draw no bet odds sit between the straight win price and the double chance price, and you can calculate a fair price from the win and lose probabilities alone.

This guide explains how draw no bet is settled, how to work out the fair odds and when it is worth considering. Every WinnScore match prediction lists draw no bet probabilities for both sides.

How It Is Settled at a Glance

ResultYour bet
Backed team winsBet wins at the draw no bet odds
DrawStake returned
Backed team losesBet loses

How Do You Calculate Draw No Bet Odds?

Ignore the draw and rescale the other two outcomes. If a home win is 50%, a draw 26% and an away win 24%, the draw no bet probability for the home side is 50 ÷ (50 + 24), which is about 67.6%. The fair odds are one divided by that, roughly 1.48. For the away side the probability is about 32.4% and the fair price about 3.08.

Compare the bookmaker’s price with that figure. Odds of 1.55 on the home side are longer than the fair 1.48, so on these numbers they would be good value; odds of 1.40 would not.

Is Draw No Bet the Same as Asian Handicap 0?

Yes. A level Asian handicap wins if your team wins, returns the stake on a draw and loses on a defeat, exactly like draw no bet. The Asian handicap page describes how whole-number handicaps can produce a refunded result. Prices for the two can differ slightly between bookmakers, so it is worth comparing both. Our Asian handicap guide covers the other lines.

When Is It Useful?

  • Close matches: when you think one side is slightly stronger but a draw is quite possible.
  • High-draw leagues: in our data this season, 34% of League Two games and 29% of Premier League games were drawn, as of 28 October 2026.
  • Away sides in tight games: backing an away team this way can protect you against a late equaliser.

The trade-off is the price. You give up some of the win payout in exchange for the refund, and the bookmaker’s margin, known as the overround, is still built in.

Draw No Bet or Double Chance?

One refunds the draw; double chance counts the draw as a win. Double chance wins more often at a shorter price, while draw no bet pays more when your team wins. Draw rates for every league are on our league tables page. For a strong favourite the difference is small; for an evenly matched game it is larger.

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens to a draw no bet in an accumulator?

If a draw no bet leg is drawn, most bookmakers treat it as void and recalculate the accumulator without it, so the remaining legs stand at a lower combined price. The exact rule can vary, so check how your bookmaker settles void legs before placing a multiple bet.

Is it a safe bet?

No bet is safe. Draw no bet removes one way to lose, the draw, but you still lose if the other team wins, and the price is lower than a straight win. Over time the bookmaker’s margin applies here as in every other market.

How do I calculate draw no bet probability?

Divide your team’s win probability by the sum of both teams’ win probabilities. With a 50% home win and 24% away win, the home draw no bet chance is 50 divided by 74, about 67.6%. One divided by that gives the fair decimal odds, about 1.48.

Does draw no bet include extra time?

Normally it is settled on the result at the end of normal time, including stoppage time, so a match level at full time is treated as a draw even if it is later decided in extra time or on penalties. Always check the market rules for cup ties.

Key Takeaways

Draw no bet is a simple way to back a team without being beaten by a draw. Rescale the win probabilities, work out the fair odds and compare. Our value bets page shows where prices sit above our estimates.

How we prepared this guide: Draw rates come from WinnScore’s own results data as of 28 October 2026; the pricing method follows standard bookmaking maths. Nothing here is betting advice. If gambling stops being fun, BeGambleAware offers free support. The cover image is an illustrative stock photo.

EFLImplied ProbabilityValue Betting

Probabilities are estimates from a statistical model built on this season's results and, where available, bookmaker prices. They are not guarantees and are not betting advice. 18+ only. Read the disclaimer.

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