{"id":19,"date":"2026-10-28T22:04:01","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T22:04:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/?p=19"},"modified":"2026-11-03T03:26:25","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T03:26:25","slug":"double-chance-bet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/double-chance-bet\/","title":{"rendered":"Double Chance Bet Explained: 1X, X2 and 12 With Fair Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A double chance bet covers two of the three possible results in one bet: home or draw (1X), draw or away (X2), or either team to win (12). Because it wins more often than a straight win bet, a double chance bet pays shorter odds, and its value depends on whether the combined probability of your two outcomes is higher than the price implies.<\/p>\n<p>This guide explains each double chance option, how to calculate the probability and fair odds, and when the market makes sense. Every WinnScore <a href=\"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/predictions\/\">match prediction<\/a> shows the double chance probabilities in its &#8220;other markets&#8221; table.<\/p>\n\n<h2>Double Chance Bets at a Glance<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead><tr><th>Option<\/th><th>Wins if<\/th><th>Loses if<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td>1X<\/td><td>Home win or draw<\/td><td>Away win<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>X2<\/td><td>Draw or away win<\/td><td>Home win<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>12<\/td><td>Either team wins<\/td><td>Draw<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>How Do You Calculate a Double Chance Probability?<\/h2>\n<p>Add the probabilities of the two results it covers. If our model gives a home win 45%, a draw 27% and an away win 28%, then 1X has a 72% chance, X2 has 55% and 12 has 73%. The fair decimal odds are one divided by the probability: 1X at 72% is worth about 1.39, X2 at 55% about 1.82.<\/p>\n<p>Compare those fair odds with the price on offer. Our guide to <a href=\"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/how-to-read-football-odds\/\">how to read football odds<\/a> covers converting prices into chances. If a bookmaker offers 1X at 1.30, the implied chance is about 76.9%, which is higher than our 72%, so the bet is priced shorter than our numbers suggest it should be.<\/p>\n<h2>Why Is the Bookmaker Margin Important Here?<\/h2>\n<p>Every market includes a margin, known as the overround, that makes the implied probabilities add up to more than 100%. The <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Mathematics_of_bookmaking\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mathematics of bookmaking<\/a> shows how this works in the three-way football market. Double chance prices are built from the same three-way probabilities, so the margin is carried over and can be larger relative to the short price. A small difference in odds matters more when the payout is close to 1.30 than when it is 3.00.<\/p>\n<h2>When Does a Double Chance Bet Make Sense?<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Underdogs that draw a lot:<\/strong> X2 on an away side in a league with many draws can be reasonable value.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Matches unlikely to be drawn:<\/strong> 12 suits open games between attacking teams.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Within accumulators:<\/strong> some bettors use 1X legs to reduce risk, but the short prices multiply up slowly, and every extra leg still lowers the chance of the whole slip landing. Our <a href=\"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/acca-builder\/\">acca builder<\/a> shows that chance.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Draw rates vary widely. In our data this season, 34% of League Two games ended level against 17% in Serie A and the S\u00fcper Lig, as of 28 October 2026. That difference changes the value of every 1X and X2 price.<\/p>\n<h2>Double Chance or Draw No Bet?<\/h2>\n<p>Both protect you against the draw, in different ways; our guide to <a href=\"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/draw-no-bet\/\">draw no bet<\/a> covers the other side. Double chance treats the draw as a win, so it pays less. Draw no bet refunds your stake on a draw, so it pays more when your team wins. Neither is better in general; compare both with their probabilities.<\/p>\n<h2>Frequently Asked Questions<\/h2>\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\"><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1793225006000\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What does 1X mean in football betting?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">1X is the double chance option that covers a home win or a draw. You win if the home team wins or the match is drawn, and you lose only if the away team wins. It is settled on the result at the end of normal time, including stoppage time in most markets.<\/p> <\/div> <div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1793225006001\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Is double chance a good bet?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">It is neither good nor bad in itself. It wins more often than a single result, but pays less. It is only good value when the combined probability of the two results is higher than the probability implied by the odds, which you can check by dividing one by the price.<\/p> <\/div> <div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1793225006002\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">How are double chance odds calculated?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">In principle, the probability of the two covered results is added together and the fair odds are one divided by that total. Bookmakers then add their margin, so the odds you see are usually a little shorter than the fair price based on the true probabilities.<\/p> <\/div> <div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1793225006003\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Does double chance include extra time?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Usually not. Like most football result markets, double chance is normally settled on the score at the end of normal time, including stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded unless the market rules say otherwise, so check before betting on a cup tie.<\/p> <\/div> <\/div>\n<h2>In Short<\/h2>\n<p>Double chance trades a lower payout for covering two results. Add the probabilities, work out the fair odds, compare them with the price and think about how often draws happen in that league. Our <a href=\"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/tables\/\">league tables<\/a> show draw rates for every league we cover.<\/p>\n<p class=\"note\"><em>How we prepared this guide:<\/em> Draw rates come from WinnScore&#8217;s own results data as of 28 October 2026; the pricing method follows standard bookmaking maths. Nothing here is betting advice. If gambling stops being fun, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.begambleaware.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BeGambleAware<\/a> offers free support. The cover image is an illustrative stock photo.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Double chance bet explained: what 1X, X2 and 12 cover, how to add the probabilities and work out fair odds, and when the market makes sense.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[9,10,8],"class_list":["post-19","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting-guides","tag-accumulators","tag-implied-probability","tag-value-betting"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76,"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19\/revisions\/76"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/winnscore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}